The stock market has fallen over 30 percent from the highs.
Maybe you have already called your fund or 401(k) manager and asked to liquidate your losers.
Here is what you probably heard.
“I don’t recommend it.”
That is typically followed by, “If you do pull out now, you will miss the opportunity when the market turns.”
I say to that GREAT, you did such a fine job doing nothing for the last 30 percent downturn, I will see you in the next 20 percent downturn.
These managers are only paid to buy.
They have very little idea about bear markets.
And, they lose their jobs anyway when clients lose too much money or pull out in mass.
Then, like in 2008, they suffer post traumatic stress and do not buy when the stock market finally bottoms.
Of course, the public sells the lows and buys the highs.
But this is not the low.
On another note, rumors are circulating that there is a potential for an Iran-backed attack against the U.S. in Iraq.
One way to get oil prices up quickly is to start a war or blow up a few oil fields like what happened in 1990.
Ask you fund manager what they would do in that case?
Well, one thing I can tell you is, if you mention the term stagflation, they will have to look that up.
Here, I have warned you over and over that once the FED’s offering U.S. dollars in exchange for treasury debt cools down, the pandora’s box for stagflation is huge.
And so it goes.
Your fund manager is not your friend.
Heck, you are probably smarter than they are. (Especially if you read my Daily!)
Here again are the signs to watch:
A debasing dollar and more of a sell-off in high yield bonds.
Gold futures to hold around 1580 and clear 1620, 1680, and then 1700.
Food commodities to start to rise.
And now, oil futures to return over $24 a barrel.
S&P 500 (SPY) 228 support and 253 resistance
Russell 2000 (IWM) Inside week so far. 101.60 support and 112.56 resistance
Dow Jones Industrials (DIA) Inside week. Support 190 resistance 216.35
Nasdaq (QQQ) 175 support 192.35 resistance
KRE (Regional Banks) Inside week-31.65 resistance 30.00 support
SMH (Semiconductors) Inside week. 105 support 115 resistance
IYT (Transportation) Inside week 123 support 137.70 resistance
IBB (Biotechnology) 1-5.22 pivotal
XRT (Retail) Inside week 27.70 support 30.00 resistance
Volatility Index (VXX) Inside week-50.00 pivotal
Junk Bonds (JNK) Inside week. 94 resistance 87 support
LQD (iShs iBoxx High yield Bonds) 120 pivotal support
Twitter: @marketminute
The author may have a position in the mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.
