What Would a Semiconductors Top Mean for S&P 500?

With Nvidia’s earnings last week and the subsequent fallout, investors are drawn once again to the crucial semiconductor sector, central to the AI trade that’s driven markets in recent months.

Are we seeing a potential top in semiconductors and what implications might this have for the broader stock market? 

The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) reveals possible signs of the infamous head and shoulders pattern, a classic indicator of a market top, which, if confirmed, could suggest a significant shift in market trends.

The performance disparity between semiconductors and broader market indexes since the July peak suggests a weakening in semiconductor momentum. If semiconductors do form a major top, it would likely weigh on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, given their substantial representation in these indexes.

Sign up for our FREE newsletter
and receive our best trading ideas and research



  • Are semis forming a head and shoulders top, and what particular levels should investors watch as a result?
  • What is the significance of the 200-day moving average in confirming a market shift for semiconductors?
  • How might a downturn in semiconductors impact broader market indexes like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500?

VIDEO: Will Semiconductor Stock Top Take S&P 500 Lower?

Twitter:  @DKellerCMT

The author may have positions in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.