Tag: market cycles

S&P 500 Index: Record Gains If Historic Seasonality Plays Out

Asked about U.S. equity a portfolio manager recently said, “Why not just buy the S&P 500 and forget about it?” Honestly, it’s a fair...

Global Elections and Stock Market Cycles

2024 is an election year, just about everywhere. Already behind us are India, the UK, France, and Mexico (to name a few), and the...

U.S. Economy: Soft Landing or Recession This Year?

The stock market is betting on a Goldilocks scenario. Jerome Powell doesn’t foresee a recession, instead he forecasts a soft landing. Apollo is bettering...

2-Year Business Cycles Matter in This Market

Some of you might have already heard us speak about the monthly moving averages or have read our commentary about their significance. Monday we asked,...

2023 United States Recession: None, Soft or Hard?

There is no denying economic activity is slowing but so far, the market has not cared much as it has taken a backseat to...

Where Are Stocks In Current Market Cycle?

The economy moves in cycles, from expansion to peak to recession to trough to recovery and then back to expansion again. For anyone who remembers...

The 3 Stages of a Bear Market

Yes, we said it. The bear market is here. Whether you want to stick with the literal definition of a close below 20% or are satisfied...

Market Cycle Indicators Weaken, Can U.S. Hold Off A Recession?

From a markets’ perspective, in normal times, good news is good and bad news is bad. Who doesn’t like getting some surprisingly good news?...

Market Cycle Remains Healthy, Favor Value Stocks

Equity markets appear to have largely gotten over the China issues, inflation and slowing economic data ... for now. Once again it seems that...

As Market Cycle Indicators Soften: Investors Eye Buying Opportunity

In any given month, there is a greater likelihood that markets will go higher and the economy will expand. And while there are periods...

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