Stocks And Probabilities: What’s Mr. Market Saying About The Future?

There is no sure-fire predictor for stocks and the financial markets.

What investors “want” to see happen and what “does” happen are two different things. This is why investors need to have a process to manage risk.

In this weekend’s video, we’ll take a closer look at the stock market and discuss why it’s important to incorporate probabilities into your process and portfolio modeling system. This helps us to form a probabilistic forecast:

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We’ll also look at major stock market indices like the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and discuss what probabilities are currently telling us about the Mr. Market’s future.

Without further adieu, here is this week’s video.  Feel free to reach out with questions or comment below.

 

Twitter:  @CiovaccoCapital

The author or his clients may hold positions in mentioned securities at the time of publication.  Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.