Chinese Equity Markets Soar on Investor Optimism – Cycles Point to a Bullish Pause

The Shanghai Composite rallied 5.7% in Monday’s trading session as China’s state-run Securities Journal noted the importance of a healthy bull market to the Chinese economy.

This news sent both the iShares China Large Cap ETF NYSEARCA: FXI and Baidu NASDAQ: BIDU soaring in the U.S. session.

As of 1:30 PM ET, FXI is up 8.7% and BIDU is up 6.9%.

In this blog post, we will review our weekly cycle analysis for both FXI and BIDU.

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iShares China Large Cap ETF (FXI) Weekly Chart

fxi shares china etf bullish market cycles analysis outlook image july 6

askSlim Technical Briefing:

The weekly analysis suggests that FXI is in a positively configured cycle.

The next projected low is due in the middle-to-end of August. Weekly momentum is firmly positive.

fxi ishares china stocks etf bullish forecast analysis indicators image july 6

On the upside, there are prior cycle high resistances from 45.29 – 45.96.

On the downside, there is a rising intermediate-term support at 42.27 followed by another zone of support from 40.52  39.10. For the bears to regain control of the intermediate-term, we would need to see a weekly close back below 37.69.

askSlim Sum of the Evidence:

FXI has a bullish weekly cycle pattern with positive momentum. Given these conditions, we would expect downside to be limited to the rising intermediate-term supports beginning at 42.

Baidu (BIDU) Weekly Chart

bidu stock price analysis bullish market cycles outlook image july 6

askSlim Technical Briefing:

The weekly cycle analysis suggests that BIDU is forming an important base.

The next projected intermediate-term low is due in early-to-mid August. Weekly momentum is positive.

On the upside, there is an intermediate-term Fibonacci resistance at 133.39.

baidu stock bidu bullish forecast analysis indicators image july 6

On the downside, there is a rising intermediate-term support at 120.35 followed by another zone of support from 113.02 – 107.10.

For the bears to regain control of the intermediate-term, we would need to see a weekly close back below 101.17.

askSlim Sum of the Evidence:

BIDU has a bullish weekly cycle pattern with positive momentum. Given these conditions, we would expect any downside to be limited to the rising intermediate-term supports beginning at 120.

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Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.