Normal Distribution Indicators Anything But Normal
After the financial crisis, it became clear to many investors that markets were far from being normally distributed. Tools like VaR and other risk...
Deconstructing the S&P 500: A Harmonic Sector Review
The steady-state, 3%-per-month melt-up that is 2013 year-to-date continues apace for the S&P 500 (symbol: SPX).
Back in late March with the S&P just off...
Market Masters: Investing in Trends As Easy As 1-2-3
Even Warren Buffet Needs Trends
To make significant gains over longer periods of time (weeks, months, years), any investment position must be in an uptrend. ...
Options Trading Education: Diagonal Calendar Spreads
I would like to continue my discussion of spreading time by describing diagonal calendar spread options. This spread, unlike the horizontal calendar spread, uses different...
Margin Debt: An Important Theme to Monitor
The first half of 2013 left investors obsessing about a myriad of  macro-economic issues – the Federal Reserve’s potential tapering of monetary policy, Ben...
Aphorisms of An Accidental Market Speculator – Part 1
Everyone's got a story behind how their interest, activity and even fascination with "the market" began. Some grow up in a multi-generational wealth management...
Gold Bugs and Bulls: Keep an Eye on the Gold to Oil Ratio
When it comes to discussing gold, nothing irritates me so much as when people conflate gold bulls with gold bugs. While they are certainly...
Why Bond Yields May Be Headed Lower Short-Term
First, I want to note that I agree with the masses that bond yields (interest rates) are ultimately going to be higher over the...
Using Dividends to Calculate Equity Risk Premium
In my last article, I mentioned the importance of dividends in consideration of the Equity Risk Premium. Following from that, it is possible to...
Commodities Outlook for the Week of July 9
In this week's commodities outlook video, I take a look at the recent COT Report and analyze Gold, Crude Oil, Coffee, the US Dollar, S&P 500, and more.  As...
