Major Indices

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2 Key Stock Indexes May Be Sending Bearish Signal To Market

For the past two years, the Russell 2000 and Value Line Geometric Indexes have been lagging. Recently, however, both have come alive... adding a tailwind...
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Commodities, Inflation: Super Cycles Do Not Just Fade Away

On inflation I like this quote- “Goods deflation likely transitory as downward pressure on goods demand and input costs are fading. 1H24 global core inflation likely...
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Are Large Cap Tech Stocks In Trouble Here?

We have spent a lot of time discussing the importance of technology stocks and how this area of leadership is a great "tell" for...
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Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Reversal Would Signal Problems For Broader Market

Technology stocks lead the stock market out of the 2009 bottom, the Covid crash, as well as the 2022 lows. And following a strong year...
10 year german bond yields trading within declining channel important chart image

German Bond Yields Reach Sink or Swim Moment?

Just as interest rates are pulling back, one particular government rate appears to be nearing an important moment. The 10-Year German Bond yield. Below is a...
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Are Junk Bonds Starting To Weaken? Stock Bulls Hope Not!

Several risk on indicators surged higher into year-end, such as small cap stocks and junk bonds. And as we typically see, this coincided with a...
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Are Small Cap Investors Getting Greedy At Important Resistance?

Small caps stocks have been a noticeable laggard for over 2 years. But a recent year-end rally has set the Russell 2000 (IWM) on fire....
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2024 Financial Markets Outlook: 17 Predictions

One area I cover in the Outlook 2024 is the teachings of Raymond Lo and how he sees the upcoming Year of the Dragon. Part...
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S&P 500 Outlook For 2024

Here’s a passage from my longer research outlook for the financial markets:SPY’s all-time high was made in January 2022 at $479.98.   For now, the chart...
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Stock Market Update: Internal Indicators Bullish Intermediate Term

The equity market internals, as measured with our multi-factor model, have significantly improved off the October 27 lows. We now have 31% of the constituents...

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