Bonds

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Long Treasury Bonds Indicator Says Risk OFF, But With a Twist

Turnaround Tuesday brought some interesting charts. What bulls do not want to see, is when long-dated treasury bonds (which have turned around) outperform both...
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Post Federal Reserve: Treasury Bonds (TLT) Outlook and The Year of the Snake

First, I would like to express to my colleagues, friends and followers: May the Year of the Snake guide your endeavors to great heights. Gong...
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Historical Deja Vu: Will 30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Repeat 2007?

We have repeated several times the importance and implications of rising/falling interest rates. And today we come back to this theme while discussing long-term US...
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Are German Government Bond Yields Changing 44 Year Trend?

Interest rates continue to dominate our recent research. And rightfully so. Big swings in interest rates have ramifications for the domestic and global economy. Whether...
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30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Targeting 6.5% or Higher?

In just 4 years, the trend (and investment theme) of low interest rates has been turned on its head. During this time, home and auto...
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Chinese Bond Yields Collapse; U.S., German Yields Breaking Out?

There are a lot of moving parts across the global economy. From commodity prices to employment data to bond yields, investors pay attention. Today we look...
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Bond Yields Oversold; Will Interest Rates Rise Again?

The Federal Reserve is talking dovish and finally the bond market is listening... but this may be a trap. With inflation looking sticky and bond yields...
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Long Bonds TLT: Agony and Ecstasy 

Today, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell spoke.  Here are some highlights: U.S. BUDGET IS ON AN UNSUSTAINABLE PATH; REVENUE AND SPENDING NEED TO...
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Will Bearish Sentiment Lead To Bond Market Bottom?

Investors have been piling into all-equity one-ticket solutions. Call it performance chasing perhaps. These vehicles are more tilted to Do-It-Yourself (DIY) investors as this...
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Are Junk Bonds (HYG) Flashing Warning Sign To Investors?

With all the euphoria in the market, junk bonds help calm the noise. Why? Because firms that issue bonds are generally looking to raise capital for growth,...

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