U.S. Treasury Bonds have been beaten and battered for several months now as inflation concerns have taken center stage for investors.
But perhaps we are due for a pause in the action… a counter-trend rally.
I like taking the Long-dated U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) here for a trade. We have a reversal higher off the MFU-3 price support, also with a momentum divergence at the lows.
I’m thinking of an initial target at the 38.2 fibonacci level of $142 for partial profits.
A move above that level will likely lead to a 50% retracement level of $144, which lines up with the 200-day in red. A close below the recent low at 134.50 area would stop me out of this trade.
$TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bonds ETF Chart
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