S&P 500 Bearish Divergence Raises Intermediate Term Risks

As most active investors are aware, the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) has traded in a tight range over the past several weeks. Recently, stocks have touched the lower part of that range, testing the late summer breakout.

But there are a couple of interesting developments that are worth monitoring for both short-term traders and longer-term active investors; a key test for the former, and an S&P 500 bearish divergence for the latter.

These observations show up on two different time intervals/charts.

S&P 500 “Daily” Chart

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The first chart I’ll focus on is the daily bar chart for the S&P 500. As you can see, a wedge formation has broken to the downside. This is concerning near-term, especially if momentum were able to build. The first line of price support is at 2120, which is followed by deeper support at 2100.

s&p 500 daily chart technical support level october 12

 

S&P 500 “Monthly” Chart

If the S&P 500 can hold above key price support levels, it can rally once more. But one nagging concern lies within a longer-term time frame.  On the “monthly” bar chart, a negative RSI divergence has developed. Since this is a monthly chart, the S&P 500 bearish divergence could go on for a while yet. However, it is worth noting that Stochastics are overbought and potentially rolling over.

s&p 500 bearish divergence stock market intermediate term decline 2017

 

More from Gavin:  Gold: Expect An Uptick In Trading Volatility

Thanks for reading and trade safe.

 

Twitter:  @OptiontradinIQ

Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.